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Name:
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Yankee06
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Subject:
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Could It Be?
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Date:
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8/22/2010 2:20:58 PM
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-Very perplexing.
-if the assessments in the press are right, that last Friday was teh last day the Israelis could have struck without causing widespread radiation clouds, then I would have thought Israel would have struck. There are many reasons that could be given why it did not strike. here are a few:
1) The general assessment is wrong. Isreal might assess that it can strike later depending on type weapons systems it uses, or depending on different weather and disperal conditions,or just because Iranian defensive posture will be lower as time goes on. None of these reasons is very satisfying to anyone who has studied israeli policy.
2)New Israeli National Security Policy: Israel has indeed changed its national security policies and posture and believes that even a nut-job regime like the one in Tehran will not attack Isreal, realizing that the Israeli counter attack will wipeout most of Iran's infrastructure for decades or centuries to come. A mideast version of MAD, --Mutually Assured Destruction.
3) Diplomacy over War: Israel, by living with this dangerous situation, is betting that its restraint will make the rest of the world recognize that israel is indeed trying to establish a workable peace system in teh mideast and thus enjoin the world to bring pressure on teh mideast terrorist organizations and supporting regimes to establish a workable, long-lasting peace process.
Personally, I don't believe the Israelis will allow the Iranians to build nuclear bombs, and that somewhere down the line, probably sooner than later, and after it becomes clear to the world what the Iranians are doing, Israel will take military action to elimenate what it failed to prevent.
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